Big Story! Inside The Political Storm That Swept Away Mary Begumisa’s Victory In Sembabule

By Frank Kamuntu

The defeat of Woman Member of Parliament Mary Begumisa in the recently concluded parliamentary elections has once again highlighted the turbulent and faction-driven politics that have long defined Sembabule District in central Uganda.

Created in 1997 after being carved out of Masaka District, Sembabule has over the years developed a reputation as one of Uganda’s most politically volatile districts, where elections are often shaped by powerful rival camps, intense competition and, at times, chaotic electoral processes.

Political observers say Begumisa’s loss should be viewed within this broader context rather than as a simple rejection by voters.

For decades, politics in Sembabule has revolved around influential figures aligned to the ruling National Resistance Movement (NRM).

Among the district’s most prominent political actors are veteran statesman Sam Kahamba Kutesa, outspoken Theodore Ssekikubo of Lwemiyaga County, and long-serving Mawogola politician Anifa Kawooya Bangirana.

Their competing political camps have historically shaped electoral outcomes in the district, often turning elections into high-stakes contests that extend beyond policy debates into deeply personal rivalries.

In recent years, the field has become even more crowded with the emergence of new political actors, including Sodo Aine Kaguta, a member of the first family whose entry into local politics further intensified competition.

Meanwhile, the rise of retired army officer Emmanuel Rwashande in Lwemiyaga politics significantly altered the balance of power that had long revolved around Ssekikubo’s camp.

Begumisa’s Rise & Leadership

Against this complex and often unforgiving political environment, Pastor Mary Begumisa emerged as a formidable grassroots leader.

She rose to national prominence in the 2021 elections after winning the Woman Member of Parliament seat with overwhelming support from voters across Sembabule.

During her tenure in Parliament, Begumisa built a reputation as a community-oriented leader whose focus centered on social development and service delivery.

Among her initiatives were the donation of computers to secondary schools, sponsorship of disadvantaged students and support for housing projects targeting vulnerable families.

Supporters say these efforts strengthened her connection with ordinary residents and cemented her image as a leader committed to improving livelihoods rather than engaging in political theatrics.

“Her focus was always on the people,” said one local supporter. “She worked quietly but effectively to uplift communities.”

However, Begumisa’s leadership unfolded within a political environment already shaped by decades of entrenched rivalries.

Her political journey had earlier intersected with that of Anifa Kawooya Bangirana, a contest that remains a defining chapter in Sembabule’s political history.

Over time, these rival camps continued to influence alliances and alignments across the district.

In the run-up to the latest elections, Begumisa faced a challenge from newcomer Florence Nambaziira, whose campaign gained traction amid shifting political alliances within the district.

Chaotic Election Environment

The 2026 parliamentary elections in Sembabule have widely been described by observers as among the most chaotic in the district’s recent history.

Reports of irregularities, intimidation and intense factional mobilisation surfaced during both the party primaries and the general election campaign.

Analysts say such an environment often disadvantages incumbents attempting to run issue-based campaigns.

In the end, Begumisa lost the seat she had held for one term a dramatic political reversal for a leader who had entered Parliament with strong grassroots backing.

Sembabule’s political environment has also been evolving in recent years.

While traditionally regarded as a stronghold of the ruling NRM, the district showed signs of shifting political attitudes during the 2021 elections, when the rise of Robert Kyagulanyi and the National Unity Platform (NUP) energized opposition politics across the country.

Although the NRM remains dominant in the district, these national shifts have contributed to a more unpredictable local political landscape.

Political analysts say the combination of entrenched rivalries, new entrants into the political arena and heightened competition has made Sembabule one of the most complex electoral battlegrounds in Uganda.

Growing Public Frustration

In the aftermath of the elections, conversations among residents suggest a growing frustration with the state of politics in the district.

Public gatherings — from funerals to community meetings often turn into discussions about the conduct of elections and the persistent divisions within local leadership.

Observers warn that unless both national and party leaders address these tensions, political fatigue and voter disillusionment could deepen.

For many analysts, the defeat of Mary Begumisa is therefore not simply the story of one politician losing an election.

Rather, it reflects the enduring turbulence of Sembabule politics a district where capable leaders can easily be swept aside by the complex dynamics of factional rivalry and chaotic electoral contests.